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US net debt to the rest of the world increased to a record $2.69 trillion


Bureau of Economic Analysis International Investment Position

The U.S. net international investment position at yearend 2005 was -$2,693.8 billion with direct investment valued at current cost, as the value of foreign investments in the United States exceeded the value of U.S. investments abroad. At yearend 2004, the U.S. net international investment position was -$2,360.8 billion.

The -$333.0 billion change in the net investment position from 2004 was largely due to record private net foreign purchases of U.S. securities and to depreciation of most major foreign currencies against the U.S. dollar, which lowered the dollar value of U.S.-owned assets abroad. 

The price appreciation of U.S.-held foreign stocks surpassed by a large amount price appreciation of foreign-held U.S. stocks.

U.S. official reserve assets decreased $1.5 billion to $188.0 billion.

Continue reading... "US net debt to the rest of the world increased to a record $2.69 trillion" »

Going Online “Essential” for Two-Thirds of Teens, Reveals Burst Media Study

A Burst Media survey of more than 1,800 web users 13-17 years has revealed that almost 69% said that if they had no Internet access outside of school it would “ruin” or make their day “not as good.”

Homework is cited by about half (48.9%) the respondents as the most commonly conducted offline activity when online. Other offline activities commonly conducted while online include; watching television shows or movies (33.8 %), listening to the radio (21.4 %), watching music videos on television (21.2 %), sending text messages by cell phone (20.1 %), talking on a cell phone (19.0 %), talking on a land line phone (16.3%), and watching sports on television (11.8 %).

Three out of five (61.4 %) respondents have visited a social networking website. Of those, 60.7% joined the site and created a profile. Teen females are significantly more likely than teen males to say they have visited and joined a social networking site, 67.5% versus 53.7%.

Half (49.3%) of respondents say they play online games, and a similar number say they download music (47.1%). Downloading video clips is also a popular Internet activity, with 39% of respondents saying they do so. Other online activities conducted by teens include; create/maintain a website or personal page (27.4%); download cursor types (13.7%); and download ring tones (13.5%).

Teens say television (29.0%) and Internet web sites (25.5%) are the best places to find out about new movie releases, and information on their favorite TV shows. 

Online photo industry heats up as Photobucket hits 10M uniques and shutterfly files $92M IPO

As the social networking sites lead the web 2.0 wave, online photo industry is heating up with several sites attracting millions of  monthly unique users.  New web sites such as Tabblo and Riya entering the market, as photobucket.com is becoming the most popular destination. Last year, HP bought online photo site Snapfish, and Yahoo snatched Flickr.

Shutterfly, one of the earliest and popular online photography sites, filed an initial public offering this week to sell up to $92 million in common stock.

As of March 2006, Photobucket had over 19 Million users growing by over 65,000 users per day. Photobucket serves over 50 Billion images/month. Founded in 2003, Photobucket has accelerated its organic growth to welcome more than 10 million unique visitors per month. 

 

Continue reading... "Online photo industry heats up as Photobucket hits 10M uniques and shutterfly files $92M IPO" »

Consumer spending and income growth slows in May to 0.4%

Personal income in May increased $38.3 billion, or 0.4% after a 0.7% gain in April, according to the Commerce Department. Personal spending (Personal Consumption Expenditure - PCE) also slowed in may to an increase of $40.3 billion, or 0.4%, after a 0.7% jump in April. 

Personal saving was a negative $162.9 billion in May, compared with a negative $153.5 billion in April. Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was a negative 1.7% in May, compared with a negative 1.6% in April. The savings rate has been negative for 12 consecutive months, as Americans are dipping into savings or borrowing more to finance a spending level that is exceeding their after-tax incomes. 

The PCE price index increased 0.4% in May, compared with an increase of 0.5% in April. The PCE price index, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2%, the same increase as in April.

 

Week of June 26: Key Economic Indicators 

US Economic Calendar

New Home Sales  - May 1234k

6/26 at10:00am. Prior: 

1180k
Consumer Confidence - Jun 105.7

6/27 at 10:00am. Prior: 

104.7
Existing Home Sales -May 6.67M

6/27 at 10:00am. Prior: 

6.75M
GDP - 1Q'06 (final) 5.6%

6/29 at 8:30am. Q1(P): 

5.3%
Jobless Claims  - 6/24 313k

6/29 at 8:30am. Prior: 

309k
Help-Wanted Index  - May 33

6/29 at 10:00am. Prior: 

35
Fed Interest Rate  - May 5.25%

6/29 at 2:15pm. Prior: 

5.0%
Personal Income  - May +0.4%

6/30 at 8:30am. Prior: 

+0.7%
Personal Spending  - May +0.4%

6/30 at 8:30am. Prior: 

+0.7%
Mich Sentiment (r) - Jun 84.9

6/30 at 10:00am. Prior: 

82.4
Chicago PMI - Jun 56.5

6/30 at 10:00am. Prior: 

61.5

Week of Jun 26: Venture Capital Deal Flow - Search for the Next Big Thing

Next Big Thing - 6/30/06
AppLabs $10 mil.
Software testing company
EProject $2.7 mil.
Hosted project management s/w
Daylight Solutions $7.5 mil.
Molecular detection and imaging
Clear2Pay $19.8 mil.
Financial software
iBloks $3 mil.
Self-expression software
Cranite Systems $11.5 mil.
Network security services
DVDPlay $20 mil.
DVD rental service
Oberon Media $-
Online/Mobile games
V.i. Laboratories $5 mil.
Software protection
JibJab Media $-
Online comedy

Continue reading... "Week of Jun 26: Venture Capital Deal Flow - Search for the Next Big Thing" »

JupiterResearch Finds That Deployment of Corporate Weblogs Will Double in 2006 to 70%

JupiterResearch, reveals that 35% of large companies plan to institute corporate Weblogs this year. Combined with the existing deployed base of 34%, nearly 70% of all site operators will have implemented corporate blogs by the end of 2006.

According to a new report, "Corporate Weblogs: Deployment, Promotion, and Measurement," currently 64% of executives spend less than $500,000 to deploy and manage corporate Weblogs.

The new research finds that Weblogs are underused for generating word-of-mouth (WoM) marketing opportunities. Only 32% of marketing executives said they use corporate Weblogs to generate WoM around their company's products or services.

Fed Raises Key Rate in U.S. for the 17th Consecutive Time, to 5.25%


Federal Reserve: www.federalreserve.gov

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 5-1/4 percent.

Recent indicators suggest that economic growth is moderating from its quite strong pace earlier this year, partly reflecting a gradual cooling of the housing market and the lagged effects of increases in interest rates and energy prices, says Fed.

Readings on core inflation have been elevated in recent months. Ongoing productivity gains have held down the rise in unit labor costs, and inflation expectations remain contained. However, the high levels of resource utilization and of the prices of energy and other commodities have the potential to sustain inflation pressures. The Committee judges that some inflation risks remain.

Commercial banks were expected to quickly follow the Fed announcement by raisng their benchmark prime rate by a quarter-point to a five-year high of 8.25 percent.

Enterprise Telecom Equipment Market Expands 6.9% in 2005, Reaching $98.3 Billion

The U.S. enterprise telecom equipment market strengthened in the 2004 and 2005 period, expanding 14%, compared with only 5% growth in previous years (2000-03), according to TIA's 2006 Telecommunications Market Review and Forecast. Total revenue from spending on enterprise equipment reached $98.3 billion in 2005, an increase of 6.9% over 2004, and is expected to climb to $104.5 billion in 2006. Total revenue from spending on enterprise equipment is expected to reach $121.7 billion by 2009, growing at a 5.5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR).

Computer-telephony integration (CTI) was the fastest-growing component of the enterprise market in 2005, with a 10.5% increase to $5.7 billion, followed by videoconferencing equipment, which rose 10%, reaching $825 million.

The enterprise equipment market consists of private branch exchanges (PBXs), key telephone systems (KTSs), voice processing equipment, internetworking equipment, videoconferencing equipment, and CTI systems and software. 

LCD TV panel and Notebook PC unit shipments rose 124% & 41% Y/Y in May 2006

LCD TV panel unit shipments continued to increase, rising 2% M/M and 124% Y/Y to 3.5M units in May'06, according to DisplaySearch. LCD panel suppliers have switched from air-based shipments in April targeting World Cup demand to sea-based transportation in May targeting Q3’06 demand.
  • The 30” and larger share rose from 51% to 59%.
  • Samsung led with LCD TV panel unit shipments up 11% M/M and 167% Y/Y.

Notebook PC panel unit shipments increased 4% M/M and 41% Y/Y to 5.6M units after a weak April. 
  • LG.Philips LCD retook the #1 spot with 1.5M units, up 11% M/M and 55% Y/Y.
  • The wide share of notebook panel shipments rose from 66% in April to a record high 70%.
LCD Monitor/Other panel unit shipments decreased for the first time in four months by 1% M/M and increased 12% Y/Y to 10.6M units. 
  • 17”  continued to be the most popular  with 47.8% share of unit shipments. 
  • 19”  was already the #4 size/resolution LCD monitor panel grabbing 6.4% share. 

Small/medium TFT LCD panel shipments increased 87% Y/Y to 26.3 million units in May. With a shipment share of 29.6%, Samsung led with 7.8 million units. 

New Claims for Jobless Benefits Rise to 313,000 Last Week

In the week ending June 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 313,000, an increase of 4,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 309,000. The 4-week moving average was 305,500, a decrease of 6,000 from the previous week's revised average of 311,500.

The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.9% for the week ending June 17, an increase of 0.1 percentage point from the prior week's revised rate of 1.8%.

The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending June 17 was 2,409,000, an increase of 54,000 from the preceding week's revised level of 2,355,000. The 4-week moving average was 2,398,750, a decrease of 2,750 from the preceding week's revised average of 2,401,500.  

 

US Economy Grows at 5.6% Pace in 1Q, Fastest in 2 1/2 Years

Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- increased at an annual rate of 5.6% in the first quarter of 2006, according to final estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2005, real GDP increased 1.7%. In the preliminary estimates, the increase in real GDP was 5.3%. 

The increase in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected positive contributions from personal consumption expenditures (PCE), exports, equipment and software, and federal government spending. 

The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents, increased 2.6% in the first quarter; this index increased 3.7% in the fourth quarter. Excluding food and energy prices, the price index for gross domestic purchases increased 3.0% in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 3.2% in the fourth. 
  • Real personal consumption expenditures increased 5.1% in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 0.9% in the fourth. 
  • Real nonresidential fixed investment increased 14.2%, compared with an increase of 4.5%. 
  • Equipment and software increased 14.8% percent, compared with an increase of 5.0%. 
  • Real residential fixed investment increased 3.3%, compared with an increase of 2.8%. 
  • Real exports of goods and services increased 14.7% in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 5.1% in the fourth. 
  • Real imports of goods and services increased 10.7%, compared with an increase of 12.1%.
Current-dollar GDP -- the market value of the nation's output of goods and services -- increased 8.9%, or $276.2 billion, in the first quarter to a level of $13,042.3 billion. In the fourth quarter, current-dollar GDP increased 5.2%. 

Profits from current production (corporate profits with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments) increased $176.7 billion in the first quarter, according to revised estimates. In the fourth quarter, profits increased $185.8 billion.

Why Innovation Metrics?

1000ventures.com has very extensive insights on innovation metrics and best practices, along with several other key areas in business performance measurement and management. Here Some highlights on innovation metrics:

You cannot manage what you don't measure. Innovation metrics motivates managers and leaders across your organization to embrace innovation broadly and give it ongoing priority. The adage "that which gets measured gets done" is no less true of the innovation process than any other. Once innovation goals are broadly communicated and rewards for achieving milestones are established, the pace of ideas to implementation accelerates. Sustainable growth is the result.

Innovation metrics should be applied to the three dimensions of your innovation system - strategic planning, process, and people.

The five classic result measures - performance, quality, timing, financials, and development costs - tell you what happened, but don't tell you why. "For example, an 8% drop in quarterly profits accompanied by a 10% rise in service costs does not tell a customer service team what its service technicians should do differently on their next call."

New Product / Innovation Metrics

Innovation Performance Metrics
(Measuring Efficiency)
Innovation Program Metrics
(Measuring Effectiveness)
Cumulative new product profits and revenues Innovation portfolio mix (new-t-world, new-to-company, improvements)
Growth impact (new product revenue vs. total company revenue) Process pipeline Flow
New product survival rate Speed to market

Source: 1000ventures.com

Over $800 Million Venture Capital Invested in Internet Related Start-ups in 1Q 2006

Venture capitalists remained on a steady pace in the first quarter of 2006, investing $5.6 billion in 761 deals, according to the MoneyTree Report by PricewaterhouseCoopers and the National Venture Capital Association based on data provided by Thomson Financial. The quarter's dollar value matches the investment level from Q4 2005 and represents a 12% increase over the same time last year.

Internet-Specific companies captured $861 million going into 145 deals, a 10% increase in investment dollars over Q4 2005. Internet-specific investing has grown slowly over the last several quarters with Q1 accounting for 15% of total investments, compared to 14% in the prior quarter. ‘Internet-specific’ is a discrete classification assigned to a company whose business model is fundamentally dependent on the Internet, regardless of the company’s primary industry category such as Software or Telecommunications.

2006 U.S. advertising spending to reach $150.3B, on growth revised downward to 4.9%

U.S. advertising spending is expected to increase 4.9% in 2006 to $150.3 billion, according to the full-year forecast released TNS Media Intelligence. This is a downward revision from the company’s prior forecast of 5.4% growth issued in January.

The first half of 2006 is projected to register a 4.5% gain while the second half of the year is expected to advance by 5.3%, led by robust levels of political advertising.

Performance will be sharply delineated along sector lines with Internet, Spanish Language Media and most forms of television registering above average growth rates while radio and print media lag behind, says TNS Media Intelligence.

Earlier in the year Merrill Lynch, had predicted a 5.3% overall growth rate in 2006 and 3.6% in 2007 for US advertising. 

Even earlier prediction by BIPE/Groupe Interdeco/OMD pegged US ad growth for 2006 year at 4.4%. (via eMarketer).

1. Internet estimates include display advertising only
2. Spanish Language Media includes Hispanic Network and Cable TV; Hispanic Spot TV; Hispanic Magazines; and Hispanic Newspapers
3. Radio includes Network Radio; National Spot Radio; and Local Radio
4. Newspapers includes Local Newspapers and National Newspapers

The golden age of hedge funds - best paid fund manager earns $1.5B in 2005

When it comes to pure wealth creation — arguably the biggest motivation for the majority of hedge fund managers — times have never been better. Thanks to the power of hedge fund math, driven by management fees and performance incentives, more managers are making more money today than ever before, as evidenced by  Institutional Investor's Alpha magazine

This time there are two who break the billion-dollar barrier: James Simons of Renaissance Technologies Corp. and BP Capital Management’s T. Boone Pickens. In 2005 math whiz Simons earned a staggering $1.5 billion and oil tycoon Pickens took home an equally astounding $1.4 billion. Rounding out the top five are three longtime managers: Soros Fund Management’s George Soros, $840 million; SAC Capital AdvisorsSteven Cohen, $550 million; and Tudor Investment Corp.’s Paul Tudor Jones II, $500 million.

The cost of admission keeps going up. A manager had to earn at least $130 million in 2005 to qualify for a place among the top 25 money earners, compared with $100 million in last year’s survey and just $30 million in 2001 and 2002. The 26 managers on the list made, on average, $363 million in 2005, a 45 percent jump from the $251 million the top 25 earned in 2004. The median earnings also grew, jumping by a third, from $153 million in 2004 to $205 million last year.

 

 

IBM dominates TOP500 Supercomputer list, accounting for 240 of the top 500

IBM systems account for 240 of the 500 most powerful supercomputers in the world and more than half the total processing power. IBM's Blue Gene/L developed and installed at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory tops the list with a performance of 280.6 Teraflops, or trillions of floating point calculations per second.

IBM remains the dominant vendor of supercomputers with almost half of the list (48.6%) carrying its label. Also, four of the TOP10 systems are from IBM. Hewlett-Packard (HP) remains unchallenged at the second position in this survey with 30.8% of all systems.

Intel microprocessors are at the heart of 301 of all 500 systems. AMD’s Opteron processors are also steadily and rapidly gaining ground, now with 81 systems using them compared to only 25 systems one year ago.

The U.S. is clearly the leading consumer of HPC systems with 298 of the 500 systems installed there. The European share continues to decline with now 83 systems down from 100 six month ago, while Asia mounted a turn-around with now 93 systems up from 66 six month ago.

The June 2006 TOP500 list of supercomputers can be found at  http://www.top500.org/.

 

Demand for online ads could surpass supply in the near term

McKinsey research finds that bottlenecks in supply could limit the pace of online ad growth and raise prices over the next 24 months. The study also suggests that a dearth of ad agencies that can manage both traditional and digital campaigns and the absence of a widely accepted independent metric for digital media (such as the NielsenTV ratings) could further slow the shift in spending to online ads.

Spending for online ads reached $12.5 billion in the United States in 2005, up from $10 billion the previous year. By contrast, spending for traditional ads totaled $220 billion in 2005.

By some measures, consumers already focus upward of 30% of their media attention online—a far higher proportion than advertisers currently spend there.

Continue reading... "Demand for online ads could surpass supply in the near term" »

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